Tuesday, December 30, 2014

Unemployment and Data Matrix in India

Unemployment and Data Matrix in India

India’s unemployment rate currently sits at 9%. Yet, one in three citizens with at least a bachelor’s degree is out of work. Its working age population is projected to rise from over 750 million today to almost a billion by 2020. At the same time, agricultural employment is in decline, accounting for less than 50% of total employment for the first time in India history. In my life span of 36 years, I have seen a mass movement from rural to urban areas to get job and to live a decent life style. All this population is nothing but the farmers (or their children) who left agricultural job and migrated to urban areas.

Our Indian government has no precise data as such which can direct the policy makers to create some feasible plan / policies to address the unemployment issue in the country. The government has no precise data which can give a glance of rural / urban population unemployment rate along with age group and gender. I have seen the great Indian politicians giving baseless statements on unemployment and daily wages of the labors during the election rallies. The rise and rise of child labors in India is because of these factors.

Fifteen years ago in Germany, a push from researchers and the strong will of the administration led to the creation of a unique database on individual workers. After that, German government made effective policies and rules to fight with the unemployment issue and they did it well.
India does not have to start from scratch in creating a similar data set. In fact, most of the raw data needed are already collected. Many industries have to report employee wages to comply with Employee Provident Fund. Individuals are required to report income in their tax returns. Almost all benefit programs in India collect and maintain their own data. The only thing remaining is to link and clean the data originating from different sources.

This kind of data will definitely help to create feasible labor laws in the country. Better data leads to more efficient investment by the government as well as outside agencies. Most importantly, the costliest part of this endeavor, collecting the raw data, is already being done. Creating, maintaining and allowing access to administrative data will encourage high quality research on the Indian Labor market. The benefits to policy makers and the Indian public are clear. I hope the current government in India (Modi Government) will take care of this and help Indians to live a decent and prosperous life.


- Sanat